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In order to shed light on the process of radicalization, we have constructed a computational simulation of a community in which radicalization occurs. In this simulated society we varied parameters such as population size, homogeneity, and migration, and examined how they affected the formulation of self-starter radical cells. We have also looked at social venues, which we call "magnets", and modeled how they create new ties between agents. In agreement with case studies, we found that such venues radicalize even when they attract radicals and non-radicals alike. Interestingly, we found among others, that population size has little effect on radicalization, but greater diversity strongly suppresses it. By understanding how radical cells form, the model facilitates better prediction of terrorist-cell formation, and better targeting of counter-radicalization policies.
Genkin M., Gutfraind A. How Do Terrorist Cells Self-Assemble? Insights from an Agent-Based Model. SSRN Working Paper.
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System Requirements:
Java 1.5 of greater (you might need to download it from Sun's website)
Tested on Windows XP, Vista and RedHat Linux 2.6 (but should work on most platforms)
Download the support jars file in zip file (taken from the REPAST simulation toolkit, version 3.1)
Extract the contents of the zip to a “jars” subdirectory under the directory where you saved radicalization.jar
To run the model:
Double-click on the main model file, or run the command:
java -jar radicalization.jar
To run a batch file, append: -b batchfileName
Batch analysis script is recommended for analyzing the
batch results. Run:
python abmdriver.py -b batchfileName -a o
Batch analysis script in Python (requires installation of scipy; Statistical reports require R & RPy)
Large zip containing raw simulation output files and the batch files that created them.
If you see “cannot find main class”, make sure that you have support jar files under the “jars/” directory.
abmdriver.py may fail if the output directory or the directory where the batch file is located have spaces. Make sure to use a “/” rather than “\” as a directory separator: for example, “mydir/mybatchfile.pf” is correct.
Please do not hesitate to contact the authors if you any trouble with the software.